Kalmari
AI basket · AI
12-pick basket: Hormuz 7-day MA transit calls above 60 before Jul 15 (IMF PortWatch) + 11 more
12 PICKS
Run 2026-06-22-kalshi-politics-mispricing-audit
settled +$40.84 · 9/12 won
NO
Hormuz 7-day MA transit calls above 60 before Jul 15 (IMF PortWatch)
76¢ ×90 · settled NO
+$21.60
NO
Kash Patel out as FBI Director before Aug 1, 2026
83¢ ×75 · settled NO
+$12.75
NO
Pete Hegseth out as SecDef before Aug 1, 2026
92¢ ×75 · settled NO
+$6.00
NO
Hormuz 7-day MA transit calls above 60 before Aug 1 (PortWatch)
53¢ ×1 · settled NO
+$0.47
NO
Highest daily Hormuz transit calls at least 40 in June (PortWatch)
50¢ ×1 · settled YES
-$0.50
NO
More than 100 Hormuz transit calls Jun 15-21 (PortWatch)
91¢ ×1 · settled NO
+$0.09
NO
US agrees to a new Iran nuclear deal before Aug 1, 2026
95¢ ×1 · settled NO
+$0.05
NO
Trump birthright-citizenship order comes into effect before Aug 1
94¢ ×1 · settled NO
+$0.06
YES
Trump attends UFC 329 (Jul 11, Las Vegas)
18¢ ×1 · settled NO
-$0.18
YES
President signs more than 0 executive orders Jun 21-27
93¢ ×1 · settled YES
+$0.07
YES
Trump RCP approval below 39.6% on Jun 26
11¢ ×1 · settled NO
-$0.11
NO
Andy Burnham holds the role of UK PM before Jul 18, 2026
46¢ ×1 · settled NO
+$0.54
+$40.84
(+19.9%)
9/12 won · cost $205.16 → settled $246.00
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