Kalmari
AI basket · AI

9-pick basket: Fed holds rates (0bp) at the July 29, 2026 meeting + 8 more

9 PICKS
Run 2026-06-24-kalshi-economics-mispricing-auditsettled -$1.85 · 2/6 won
YES Fed holds rates (0bp) at the July 29, 2026 meeting 77¢
YES June U-3 unemployment above 4.1%
92¢ ×1 · settled YES
 +$0.08
YES June nonfarm payrolls above +70k
67¢ ×1 · settled NO
 -$0.67
YES June CPI YoY above 3.6%
92¢ ×1 · settled NO
 -$0.92
YES June core CPI YoY above 3.1%
6¢ ×1 · settled NO
 -$0.06
NO AAA national avg gas above $3.85 on Jun 30
58¢ ×1 · settled NO
 +$0.42
YES 10Y Treasury yield above 4.45% at month-end
70¢ ×1 · settled NO
 -$0.70
YES Q2 real GDP above 0.5% 94¢
NO Fed hikes 25bp at the July meeting 78¢
-$1.85 (-48.1%)
2/6 won · cost $3.85 → settled $2.00
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