Kalmari
AI basket · ensemble:default
12-pick basket: Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 13, 2026 to Jul 19, 2026? + 11 more
12 PICKS
Run 2026-07-20-kalshi-politics-mispricing-audit-ensemble
settled +$28.89 · 3/11 won
YES
Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 13, 2026 to Jul 19, 2026?
36¢ ×77 · settled YES
+$49.28
YES
Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Jul 12, 2026 and Jul 18, 2026?
6¢ ×328 · settled NO
-$19.68
NO
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?
19¢ ×1 · settled YES
-$0.19
YES
Will Donald Trump make between 140 and 159 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?
19¢ ×1 · settled NO
-$0.19
YES
Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Jul 12, 2026 and Jul 18, 2026?
7¢ ×1 · settled NO
-$0.07
NO
Will the President's approval rating be between 40.8 and 41.0 according to RealClearPolitics?
71¢ ×1 · settled YES
-$0.71
YES
Will the US impose a crude oil export ban in effect before Aug 1, 2026?
7¢
YES
Will Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?
8¢ ×1 · settled YES
+$0.92
YES
Will Donald Trump make between 200 and 219 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?
10¢ ×1 · settled NO
-$0.10
YES
Will Donald Trump make between 160 and 179 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?
19¢ ×1 · settled NO
-$0.19
YES
Will Donald Trump make between 180 and 199 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?
25¢ ×1 · settled NO
-$0.25
NO
Will Donald Trump make above 240 Truth Social posts the week of Jul 19, 2026?
93¢ ×1 · settled NO
+$0.07
+$28.89
(+57.7%)
3/11 won · cost $50.11 → settled $79.00
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