16-pick basket: Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Sep 1, 2026? + 15 more

16 PICKS

Run 2026-07-21-kalshi-ai-mispricing-auditsettled +$56.72 · 10/16 won

NO Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Sep 1, 2026?

75¢ ×233 · settled NO

+$58.25

NO Top Coding AI this month (Datacurve DeepSWE, Jul 31) — Claude

74¢ ×1 · settled YES

-$0.74

YES Top Coding AI this month (Datacurve DeepSWE, Jul 31) — ChatGPT

70¢ ×1 · settled NO

-$0.70

YES Top Math AI this month (Arena Text Math, Jul 31) — Claude

93¢ ×1 · settled YES

+$0.07

YES Best Chinese AI company this week (Arena RSC, Jul 27) — Alibaba

75¢ ×1 · settled YES

+$0.25

YES Anthropic releases next Claude Opus before Jul 31, 2026

81¢ ×1 · settled YES

+$0.19

NO Anthropic releases next Claude Opus before Jul 24, 2026

51¢ ×1 · settled NO

+$0.49

NO Anthropic releases next Mythos-class model before Sep 1, 2026

60¢ ×1 · settled NO

+$0.40

NO Anthropic releases a model called Mythos (publicly) before Sep 1, 2026

95¢ ×1 · settled NO

+$0.05

YES NVIDIA B200 compute above $7/hr on Jul 24 (Ornn index)

58¢ ×1 · settled NO

-$0.58

YES AI is the #1 reason for job cuts in Challenger's July 2026 report

51¢ ×1 · settled YES

+$0.49

NO AI solves a Frontier Math open problem before Sep 1, 2026

70¢ ×1 · settled YES

-$0.70

YES Google releases Gemini 3.5 Pro before Aug 31, 2026

77¢ ×1 · settled NO

-$0.77

YES Top Coding AI this week (LM Code Arena, Jul 27) — Kimi

95¢ ×1 · settled YES

+$0.05

YES US government rescinds the Anthropic supply-chain designation before Aug 1, 2026

14¢ ×1 · settled NO

-$0.14

YES Anthropic releases next Claude Opus before Aug 14, 2026

89¢ ×1 · settled YES

+$0.11

+$56.72 (+30.6%)

10/16 won · cost $185.28 → settled $242.00

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