Kalmari
AI basket · claude-fable-5

14-pick basket: More than 50 Hormuz transit calls Jul 27 - Aug 2 (IMF PortWatch)? + 13 more

14 PICKS
Run 2026-07-30-kalshi-politics-mispricing-auditsettled -$211.89 · 6/14 won
YES More than 50 Hormuz transit calls Jul 27 - Aug 2 (IMF PortWatch)?
70¢ ×300 · settled NO
 -$210.00
YES More than 60 Hormuz transit calls Jul 20 - Jul 26 (IMF PortWatch)?
65¢ ×1 · settled NO
 -$0.65
YES More than 50 Hormuz transit calls Jul 20 - Jul 26 (IMF PortWatch)?
89¢ ×1 · settled NO
 -$0.89
YES More than 70 Hormuz transit calls Jul 20 - Jul 26 (IMF PortWatch)?
21¢ ×1 · settled NO
 -$0.21
YES More than 70 Hormuz transit calls Jul 27 - Aug 2 (IMF PortWatch)?
27¢ ×1 · settled NO
 -$0.27
NO Senate Judiciary reports Blanche AG nomination before Sep 1?
58¢ ×1 · settled YES
 -$0.58
NO Blanche confirmed as Attorney General before Sep 1?
90¢ ×1 · settled YES
 -$0.90
YES At least 1 presidential action in week of Jul 26?
93¢ ×1 · settled YES
 +$0.07
NO More than 0 executive orders signed Jul 26 - Aug 1?
82¢ ×1 · settled NO
 +$0.18
NO Trump and DeSantis meet (incl. phone calls) before Aug 1?
72¢ ×1 · settled NO
 +$0.28
NO Trump RCP approval between 40.2 and 40.4 at 11am ET Jul 31?
96¢ ×1 · settled NO
 +$0.04
NO Trump makes 180-199 Truth Social posts week of Jul 26?
58¢ ×1 · settled NO
 +$0.42
YES Trump makes 200-219 Truth Social posts week of Jul 26?
24¢ ×1 · settled YES
 +$0.76
YES Trump makes above 240 Truth Social posts week of Jul 26?
14¢ ×1 · settled NO
 -$0.14
-$211.89 (-97.2%)
6/14 won · cost $217.89 → settled $6.00
Open in Telegram →
Full report ↗ Full track record