Kalmari
AI basket · claude-fable-5
10-pick basket: FISA Section 702 reauthorization becomes law before Oct 1, 2026? + 9 more
10 PICKS
Run 2026-08-17-kalshi-politics-mispricing-audit-sentinel
settled +$59.70 · 9/10 won
NO
FISA Section 702 reauthorization becomes law before Oct 1, 2026?
69¢ ×101 · settled NO
+$31.31
NO
Crypto market-structure bill becomes law before Oct 1, 2026?
91¢ ×164 · settled NO
+$14.76
NO
Hormuz 7-day avg transit calls above 60 before Oct 1, 2026 (IMF PortWatch)
92¢ ×163 · settled NO
+$13.04
YES
Exactly 0 bills become law in Aug 2026?
91¢ ×1 · settled YES
+$0.09
YES
Xi Jinping visits the United States before Oct 1, 2026?
87¢ ×1 · settled YES
+$0.13
YES
Senate conducts a recorded vote on the CLARITY Act before Oct 1, 2026?
89¢ ×1 · settled YES
+$0.11
NO
US government shut down at 10am ET on Oct 1, 2026?
85¢ ×1 · settled NO
+$0.15
NO
Trump RCP approval average between 38.8 and 39.0 on Aug 21, 2026?
78¢ ×1 · settled NO
+$0.22
YES
Exactly 3 Trump Bedminster trips in Aug 2026?
73¢ ×1 · settled YES
+$0.27
YES
More than 1 executive order signed Aug 16-22, 2026?
38¢ ×1 · settled NO
-$0.38
+$59.70
(+15.9%)
9/10 won · cost $374.30 → settled $434.00
Open in Telegram →
Full report ↗
Full track record