YES on Suez Canal transit calls Sep 14-20, 2026 above 270 (IMF PortWatch)?

Resolver: IMF PortWatch Daily Chokepoints series (Suez Canal), Tuesday 09:00 ET snapshot for Sep 14-20; priced risks: -4 pts (Houthi seizure of Bab el-Mandeb on Sep 12-13 spills into Suez volumes inside the week), -2 pts (Tuesday snapshot undercounts vs later revision, as in the Aug 2 Suez T290 settlement), -1 pt (AIS outage / missing day). Every revised week since Jun 22 is at least 286 and the northbound Saudi Yanbu-Suez crude flow that props the count does not cross Bab el-Mandeb. Cleanest way to lose: a Houthi escalation that pushes container lines to re-suspend Red Sea transits this week and takes 20+ ships out of the count.