YES on Trump-image passport issuance reported before Jul 20, 2026

Sibling AUG01 leg at 93/98 says the market puts ~95% on issuance reporting by Aug 1; with issuance starting on day 1 of a 14-day window at an expedite agency whose customers walk out with printed books, most of that probability mass should land before Jul 20. Cleanest tail risk: 'Jul 6 start' means appointment scheduling, routine books get mailed on regular timelines, and no Source Agency documents a passport-in-hand within 14 days (the JUL04 leg resolved NO, confirming announcement coverage does not count).