AI pick
YES on Core CPI YoY above 2.7% for June 2026
YES
86¢
HIGH convictionedge +8¢EV 9%closes Jul 14
Every input (May 2.9% print, +0.23% nowcast MoM vs +0.23% year-ago base, no core month below +0.2 this cycle) sits above the 2.75 rounding boundary. Resolver: BLS printed one-decimal core YoY, Jul 14 08:30 ET; priced risks: -1 pt (rounding-boundary noise). Cleanest loss: a broad simultaneous collapse in shelter/services/used vehicles producing ~0.0% core MoM.