YES on Headline CPI YoY above 3.7% for June 2026

Component arithmetic from the crowd's own gasoline ladder plus nowcast core gives headline ~-0.08% MoM, comfortably above the -0.22% boundary for a 3.8+ YoY print. Resolver: BLS printed one-decimal YoY, Jul 14 08:30 ET; priced risks: -2 pts (boundary inside forecast error; possible soft non-energy component the MoM crowd sees). Cleanest loss: CPI's own gasoline sample catches the intra-June collapse harder than EIA weeklies imply.