Kalmari
AI pick

YES on Senate recorded vote on CLARITY Act before Aug 8, 2026?

YES 61¢
MEDIUM convictionedge +4¢EV 7%closes Aug 8
The bill sits on the Senate calendar (No. 423), leadership wants every senator on record before the midterms, and ~9 session days remain. Cleanest tail risk: no cloture motion has actually been filed as of Jul 27 and a jammed floor (Russia sanctions, CR, nominations) lets Thune punt to September if the ethics deal collapses. Resolver: any recorded Senate vote incl. cloture on MTP, before Aug 8; priced risks: -3 pts (floor congestion punt), -2 pts (no cloture filed yet).
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