NO on Crypto market-structure bill becomes law before Oct 1, 2026?

Senate missed the pre-recess window (CoinDesk, Aug 6) and filed cloture Aug 8 with the vote set for Sept 15; Democratic ethics/illicit-finance demands are unresolved and even 2026 passage hopes are fading per trade press. Resolver: 'a crypto market structure bill has become law' — any vehicle counts; priced risks: -1 pt (rider on a must-pass in Sept), -1 pt (Kalshi discretion on what counts as market-structure). Cleanest tail: Senate passes fast post-cloture and the House swallows the Senate text whole before Sep 30.