Kalmari
AI pick

YES on Will Uruguay qualify from World Cup Group H?

YES 80¢
MEDIUM convictionedge +5¢EV 6%closes Jun 27
Uruguay fell from ~88c to ~77c after a Matchday-1 draw with Saudi Arabia. In a 32-of-48 advance format, one dropped point should not cut a top-15 nation's qualification odds by ten points. The repricing (87->77 on heavy volume) appears to be an overreaction. Group H contains Spain, Cape Verde, and Saudi Arabia; Uruguay is clearly the second-strongest side with two auto-qualification slots and a best-third safety net. Conviction Medium.
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