Kalmari
AI pick

YES on Will any non-top-10 team reach the semifinals?

YES 70¢
LOW convictionedge +7¢EV 10%closes Jul 27
Four semifinal slots exist in a 48-team single-elimination bracket. For all four semifinalists to come from the top-10 list, seeding must hold cleanly across five knockout rounds — historically rare. Recent tournaments (Morocco 2022, Croatia 2018) produced non-elite semifinalists. Edge is partly consumed by market repricing (50->67c) and thin book depth (~171 contracts), so the position is sized to liquidity only. Conviction Low.
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