NO on Hormuz 7-day MA transit calls above 60 before Jul 15 (IMF PortWatch)

IMF PortWatch (the resolution source) logged 0 transits Jun 14, a peak of ~12 on Jun 18, and a failed recovery Jun 20-22; analysts estimate ~4 months to normalize and 550 ships remain stranded. Cleanest tail: the fragile ceasefire holds and stranded vessels flood through, spiking the 7-day average faster than analysts expect.